I roll into the weekend feeling pretty pleased with myself. Midweek in the Championship is usually where bankrolls go to die, but Wrexham did the job, Stoke did the job, and suddenly I’m walking around with a full wallet and a bit of swagger. So with the confidence topped up, I’m heading straight back into my three favourite hunting grounds: the A‑League, the Bundesliga, and the Premier League. Three leagues I know inside out, three matches that jump off the page, and three spots where I’m more than happy to have a swing.
All odds provided by 1xBet.
Auckland FC v Melbourne City
A-League, Auckland, New Zealand, 5am CET, Saturday 28th February
Prices: 2.02 Auckland FC, 3.52 Draw, 3.89 Melbourne City
I love backing New Zealand clubs against Australian sides in the early Saturday kick-off. The time difference never helps the visitors, and any time I see the Kiwi team sitting above even money, my eyes light up. That’s exactly the case here.
Both teams come into this off the back of big derby results, but in very different moods. Auckland absolutely dismantled Wellington 5–0 in the New Zealand derby, while City were on the receiving end of a Juan Mata masterclass as they lost the Melbourne derby 3–1. One side is bouncing, the other is flat.
Auckland have scored in 17 straight matches, they’re at home, and Melbourne City don’t have a whole lot left to play for. Put all that together and, for me, this is actually the bet of the weekend.
Tip: Auckland FC to win @ 2.02. 1 unit.
Borussia Dortmund v Bayern Munich
Bundesliga, Westfalenstadion, Dortmund, Germany, 6.30pm CET, Saturday 28th February
Prices: 4.78 Borussia Dortmund, 4.78 Draw, 1.68 Bayern Munich
This game screams goals, but the real angle for me is where Dortmund’s heads are at. They’ve had a brutal week, a 2–2 draw at Leipzig that felt like a missed opportunity rather than a collapse, followed by that harrowing Champions League exit to Atalanta after leading 2–0 from the first leg. That’s the kind of psychological punch that doesn’t disappear in a few days.
Bayern, on the other hand, have had a full week to prepare and reset. Win this and the title is basically theirs, and they’ll arrive fresher, calmer and far more settled than a Dortmund side who must feel like the season has just slipped through their fingers.
I do think Dortmund will cause problems, they usually do at home, and they almost always score in front of the Yellow Wall, but you still have to put up an away win here. The 1.68 for Bayern is fair, but you can squeeze more value by adding Dortmund to score. They’re chaotic, they’re wounded, but they still carry threat, and Bayern rarely keep clean sheets in games of this size.
Bayern to win & BTTS is the angle that makes the most sense.
Tip: Bayern Munich to win & both teams to score @ 2.52. 1 unit.
Fulham v Tottenham
Premier League, Craven Cottage, London, UK, 3pm CET, Sunday 1st March
Prices: 2.19 Fulham, 3.68 Draw, 3.50 Tottenham
Fulham looked really sharp last time out against Sunderland, and there’s a proper rhythm to the way they’re playing at the moment. Raul Jiménez is finally looking like a functioning No.9 again, Alex Iwobi is drifting into those clever pockets he loves, and Harry Wilson is in one of those spells where every touch looks confident. They’re a hard team to contain when those three are all humming at once.
Spurs, meanwhile, are an absolute shambles. I still think they’ll scrape together just enough points to stay up, but they’re not coming here and winning. Igor Tudor got it completely wrong against Arsenal last week, wrong shape, wrong approach, wrong energy, and Fulham are exactly the sort of savvy, well‑coached side who punish a team that turns up with vulnerabilities showing.
I don’t think the bookies have fully caught on to how bad Tottenham are right now, so this is one of those moments where you get involved before the market wakes up. Fulham at home, in form, against a fragile Spurs side? That’s a bet I’m more than happy to take.
Tip: Fulham to win @ 2.19. 1 unit.
Check out Tommy the Punter’s tipping record here.